Russian Ruble Continues to Plummet Amid Sanctions Fallout
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The Russian ruble extended losses on Tuesday, falling by more than 4 percent to its lowest since December 2016 as investors continued a sell-off of Russian assets amid a new round of U.S. sanctions.
It was the second straight day of losses for the Russian currency following fresh U.S. sanctions imposed on some of Russian oligarchs and their assets.
The ruble was 4.2 percent weaker against the dollar at 63.28 this morning and had lost 4.4 percent to trade at 77.94 versus the euro.
The rising Brent oil prices, benchmark for Moscow’s flagship Urals oil pricing, which were up by 1.3 percent in early trading, did nothing to help a recovery for the ruble.
“While the general backdrop remains uncertain and the threat of further sanctions is unclear, we believe the Russian market is near a temporary floor,” Alfa Bank said in a note.
“We note that the fundamentals surrounding the Russian market remain mostly unchanged and that Russian equities still provide among the healthiest dividend returns globally. We would thus ignore the current jitters and buy into the current weakness, particularly with dividend season almost upon us.”
Ruble Experiences Biggest One-day Fall Since 2016
Russian officials, including central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina and Economy Minister Maxim Oreshkin, sought to calm investors.
Nabiullina, who had to deal with a sharp ruble drop at the end of 2014 amid the first western sanctions, told a forum that the central bank had a wide range of tools at its disposal with which to address the risks. No risks were seen for now to Russia’s financial stability, she said.
Oreshkin told the same forum that the floating ruble rate was helping to offset a possible negative effect on the Russian economy.
The economy is projected to grow by 2 percent this year after 1.5 percent increase in 2017.
Despite the sell-off, some analysts said it was premature to begin to revise economic forecasts.
“We tend to believe that the impact on economic growth ought to be fairly limited given that Russia has already deleveraged, and economic policies of the recent years ensured stabilization and de-risking of domestic economy,” Renaissance Capital analysts Oleg Kouzmin and Daniel Salter said in a note.
Russian stock dollar-denominated index has also extended losses after opening up in earlier trade, while the ruble one was on the rise.
The dollar-denominated RTS index was down by 4.2 percent to 1,049 points. The ruble-based MOEX Russian index was 1.35 percent higher at 2,119.0 points. Russia’s 5-year credit default swaps rose to six-month high, widening from Monday.
On Monday, the ruble suffered its biggest daily fall in more than three years and stocks in major Russian companies also slid, as investors reacted to a new round of U.S. sanctions targeting some of Russia’s biggest tycoons.
The United States imposed sanctions on seven Russian oligarchs and some of their companies on Friday, including Viktor Vekselberg’s Renova and Oleg Deripaska’s En+ Group , Rusal and some other assets.
Rusal was trading down 5.14 percent on Tuesday.