The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
The market data is provided by the HitBTC exchange.
Sanction-hit Venezuela started the pre-sale of its oil backed cryptocurrency Petro on Feb. 20. Just a day later, President Nicolas Maduro’s twitter handle reported raising $735 million. The Venezuelan government plans to raise a total of $6 billion through the sale of 100 Million Petros.
Iran, which is also facing US sanctions is also considering developing its own cryptocurrency.
If these nations successfully bypass the effects of sanctions using cryptocurrencies, this might lead to some strong steps by the regulators in the developed nations led by the US.
Despite this and a few other small issues that can be handled, cryptocurrencies offer a huge opportunity that is attracting the traditional investors. Bitwise Asset Management Vice President of Research and Development Matt Hougan is one such investor who is dumping the ETF industry to go all in on cryptocurrencies.
In our previous analysis, we had forecast that if Bitcoin breaks the support line of the ascending channel, it can fall to $9,500 levels and that is what happened. Today, Feb.23, the price hit a low of $9,736.32.
The bounce from the critical support level is encouraging. This shows that the market participants are keen to buy on dips. The first test for the bulls will be the $11,200 mark where the rally is likely to face resistance from the 50-day SMA and the support line of the ascending channel.
If this level is crossed, the final litmus test will be $12,200 level. Above it, the BTC/USD pair will become positive.
Aggressive traders can use dips to $10,300 to initiate long positions with a stop loss of $9,400. 50 percent of the positions can be closed if the cryptocurrency struggles to break out of $11,200. Remaining positions can be held with a suitable stop loss for a rally to $12,000. This is a risky trade, hence, should be attempted with less than 50 percent of the usual position size.
The bears will gain strength only if they are able to sink Bitcoin below $9,500 levels.
Our expectations of a fall to $780 levels on Ethereum also turned out to be correct. Today, Feb. 23, it hit a low of $787.
The move from the critical support levels has been encouraging, but the ETH/USD pair is likely to face stiff resistance at the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA.
The aggressive traders can use dips to $850 to $830 levels to initiate long positions with a stop loss of $770. Though the target objective is $1,000, traders should closely watch the price action at the $900 mark.
If the cryptocurrency struggles to break out of the resistance, the stops should be raised to breakeven, and 50 percent of the positions should be closed.
This is a risky trade and therefore should only be considered with less than 50 percent of the usual position size.
Bitcoin Cash also fell according to our expectation. It broke below $1,200 and fell to an intraday low of $1,168.3636.
The bulls are trying to defend the critical support level of $1,150. If this level breaks, a fall to $854 is likely.
A bounce from the current level will face resistance at $1,400 from the 20-day EMA and above it at $1,680 levels from the 50-day SMA and the trendline.
The BCH/USD pair has been an underperformer in the past few weeks, so we should stick to trading the stronger cryptocurrencies.
Ripple broke below our stop loss of $0.95 and hit an intraday low of $0.85112. The $0.87 level is critical support. Below this line, we might see a retest of the lows.
Any attempt to bounce from the current levels will face resistance at the 20-day EMA and at $1.22961 levels.
Unless the XRP/USD pair breaks out of these two resistances, it remains vulnerable to bear attacks. Another possibility is that the cryptocurrency will consolidate in the range of $0.87 to $1.23 for a few days. Currently, we don’t find any buy setups on it.
Yesterday, Feb. 22, our stop loss on Stellar was hit as it closed at $0.34884075 (UTC). The bulls are aiming to defend the support zone between $0.30 to $0.35.
If the XLM/USD pair re-enters the channel, it will be a bearish development. On the upside, the bulls are likely to face strong resistance at $0.41, the 20-day EMA, and at the 50-day SMA.
We need to turn bullish and look for buying opportunities on a breakout above the $0.48 levels. Until then, it’s better to remain on the sidelines.
Litecoin hit our trailing stop loss of $210 on Feb. 22. Today, Feb.23, it fell to an intraday low of $184.577.
However, as mentioned in our previous analysis, the LTC/USD pair is one of the strongest cryptocurrencies. It continues to trade above both the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA, and both are forming a bullish crossover, which means positive development.
The current bounce is likely to face resistance at the trendline. Any fall towards the $200 mark should be used as an opportunity to build long positions with a $170 stop loss. On the upside, if the cryptocurrency breaks above the trendline resistance, it can rally to $240 and then to $260.
As the RSI is in oversold territory, we had forecast a possibility of a bounce in our previous analysis. Our expectation proved wrong, and Cardano remained stuck in a tight range for the past two days.
If the ADA/BTC pair breaks down of 0.00003033, it is likely to extend its decline towards the next support of 0.0000246.
Yet, if 0.00003033 holds, a pullback towards 0.00004070 might take place. Aggressive short-term traders can attempt this trade by initiating long positions once the cryptocurrency breaks out of 0.000033 levels, but please keep the position size less than 50 percent of usual.
NEO broke below the critical support of $120 and fell to an intraday low of $107.97, today, Feb. 23. However, the bulls aggressively purchased the dip, and the cryptocurrency is showing signs of recovery.
There is stiff resistance at $120 from the 20-day EMA and the horizontal line. Above this, the 50-day SMA and the downtrend line at about $125 levels are likely to act as another strong resistance.
Once the NEO/USD pair breaks out of the $120-$126 resistance zone, it is possible to become positive and rally towards $140 and to $170 after that.
If the cryptocurrency fails to break out above the resistance zone, it might fall to $100 levels.
Traders can enter long positions once the price sustains above $126 levels for four hours.
EOS continues to trade inside the bearish descending triangle pattern, which will complete on a breakdown below $7.5 levels.
The EOS/USD pair has taken support close to $7.5 levels both yesterday, Feb. 22 and today, Feb. 23. If this level breaks, a fall to $5.7917 and then to $3.4 is likely.
Our bearish view will be invalidated if the cryptocurrency pair breaks out of the resistance line of the descending triangle and the 20-day EMA at $9.27.
The cryptocurrency will turn positive once it starts to trade above $9.5. Until then, it remains weak.