29.03.2024

30-Yr Bond Auction

Results are moderate for the monthly 30-year bond auction, where coverage, at 2.23, was on the low side of this year’s range but the bidding was tight, pulling down the high yield about a half of a basis point below the 1:00 bid to the awarded 2.801 percent.

End investor demand was quite solid though less strong than in October, with non-dealers taking down 68 percent of the $15 billion offering.

The 2.801 percent high yield was 6.9 basis points below last month’s rate, mostly reflecting a general drift down in coupon Treasury yields in tandem with European sovereigns, where yields fell following the ECB’s decision to reduce its bond purchases less aggressively than was expected.

Definition

Treasury notes are sold at regularly scheduled public auctions. The competitive bids at these auctions determine the interest rate paid on each Treasury note issue. A group of securities dealers, known as primary dealers, are authorized and obligated to submit competitive tenders at Treasury auctions. Dealers can hold the bills, resell the bills to their clients or trade them with other securities firms. Typically, the New York Fed approves about 20 securities firms to be primary dealers but that number dropped sharply during the 2008 financial crisis as some were merged into other firms or went bankrupt.

The Fed has been rebuilding that number regularly and the latest list can be found here. The Treasury announces the amount, date and time of the 30-year note auction. Through 2008, the 30-year bond auctions had been quarterly. In 2009, the Treasury added more auctions that recur almost monthly to help fund the expanded federal deficit. The 30-year bonds are announced around the first week of the month and then auctioned the following week. Generally, the 30-year bonds are issued (settled) on the 15th of the month, unless it falls on a weekend or holiday, and then they are issued on the next business day. The issuance of new 30-year bonds went on hiatus in 2001 but the Treasury reinstituted them in 2006. (Department of the Treasury)

Description

Individual investors can participate in Treasury auctions either through a securities dealer (brokerage firm) or via the Treasury Direct program, which saves on brokerage commissions. But brokers commissions are often nominal (especially with discount brokers), and using a broker does eliminate a lot of paper work and other administrative hassles. Brokers facilitate the purchases and sales of Treasuries in the secondary market, which is handy for buying Treasuries at times other than scheduled auctions or for maturities other than those offered by standard new issues.

Interest rates on Treasury securities are determined in the market; the Federal Reserve does not set them. However, bond investors are sensitive to Federal Reserve policy and thus market rates will mirror policy expectations. Usually, bond market players are forward-looking and this means that interest rates on Treasury securities will move in the direction of Fed policy with a lead. As a result, one is more likely to see rising interest rates on Treasury yields during an expansion (and falling yields during economic slowdowns) in advance of policy changes by the Federal Reserve.

Primer on Treasuries

Treasury securities, Treasuries, U.S. government bonds, T-bonds, T-notes, and T-bills all refer to the same type of security: debt obligations of the United States. Maturity refers to the length of the loan to the government. Treasury notes have maturities from 2 to 10 years (2-, 3-, 5-, 7- and 10-year notes are most common). Since 2008, the Treasury ruled that all securities it issues now have minimum denominations of $100 and must be purchased in increments of $100.

How bonds work

You pay $1,000 for a bond. You receive interest payments every six months based on the coupon rate. If the rate is 6%, you get $30 every six months for a total of $60/year. When the bond matures in thirty years, you get back the original investment of $1,000, called the principal.

Investment Profile

Treasuries offer a measure of security unmatched by other investments – the U.S. government guarantees the initial investment (the principal) and interest payments. When Treasuries are resold in the secondary market, their prices are often significantly different than their face value since prices in the secondary market fluctuate based on the economic environment, inflation expectations, Federal Reserve policy, and simple forces of supply and demand. If a Treasury security is held to maturity, inflation and opportunity risks remain. Inflation erodes the value of both the principal and interest payments. Opportunity risk refers to what could have been earned had the money been invested elsewhere.

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